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q295nh耐候板 钢铁消化雪上加霜
发布者:  发布时间:2016-2-23 9:38:53  阅读:次 【字体:
Steel digest one disaster after another
 
林伯强认为,虽然q295nh耐候板钢材出口会对钢企产生一定的影响,但实际上真正影响钢企的还是目前国内市场的需求疲软和产能过剩问题。
Introduction: Lin Boqiang that, although the export of steel will have a certain impact on steel prices, but in fact the real impact of steel prices or the current weakness in the domestic market demand and production capacity surplus.
在2015年q295nh耐候板钢铁出口量首次破亿吨之后,今年1月,国内钢铁出口量却出现了四年来首次同比、环比双下滑。业内人士认为,国际市场需求量的持续低迷以及欧盟组织对中国钢材反倾销调查的加剧,使得出口量出现明显下滑,且行业预计2016年的出口量会出现负增长,这对于产能过剩的国内钢铁产业而言是雪上加霜。
Then, in 2015 steel exports for the first time breaking million tons in January this year, the domestic steel export volume has appeared in the first year, four years chain double drop. The personage inside course of study thinks, the continued downturn in the international market demand and increasing the organization of China's steel anti-dumping investigations, making exports appear fell significantly, and the industry is expected in 2016 exports will appear negative growth, the domestic iron and steel industry overcapacity and is worse.
出口量今年或现负增长
Exports this year or negative growth
近日,海关总署发布的最新数据显示,2016年1月,中国钢材出口974万吨,同比下降5.3%,环比下降8.6%。钢材出口金额43.83亿美元,同比下降36%,环比下降10.4%。钢材出口均价为450美元/吨,同比下降32.4%,环比下降1.9%。
Recently, the latest data released by the General Administration of Customs show that in January 2016, China steel exports 9 million 740 thousand tons, down 5.3%, a decline of 8.6%. Steel export amount of 4 billion 383 million dollars, fell 36%, a decline of 10.4%. Steel export price of 450 U.S. dollars / ton, down 32.4%, a decline of 1.9%.
值得注意的是,这也是中国q295nh耐候板钢铁出口罕见的同比环比下滑,统计数据显示,此前中国钢材出口量已经 连续数年大幅增长。从2013年到2015年,钢材出口增幅分别为11.9%、50.5%和19.9%。尤其是2015年,全国钢材出口量首次突破亿吨关 口,达到1.12亿吨,消化了同期国内粗钢统计产量的近15%。北京商报记者进而统计发现,今年1月也是近四年来国内钢铁出口首次出现环比、同比双下滑。
It is worth noting that this is the Chinese steel exports fell year-on-year rare, statistics show that after China steel exports have consecutive years of substantial growth. From 2013 to 2015, the steel export growth were 11.9%, 50.5% and 19.9%. Especially in 2015, the national steel exports for the first time exceeded 100 million tons mark, reaching 1.12 tons, nearly 15% over the same period to digest domestic crude steel production statistics. Beijing Daily reporter further statistics found that in January this year is nearly four years of domestic steel exports year-on-year decline, the first time a double.
对于钢铁出口量的下滑,长江证券研报分析认为,现阶段我国钢材出口的原因中,国内外钢价价差扩大是重要因素,而自去年12月中旬以来,国内钢价总体出现企稳反弹,导致近期国内外钢价价差持续缩小,因而1月钢材出口同比出现下降。中钢协数据显示,今年1月末,全球钢材基准价格指数为64.1,月环比上涨1.27%。
For the decline in steel exports, Changjiang Securities Research Report Analysis, at this stage of the cause of China's steel exports, domestic and international steel price spread expansion is an important factor, and since mid December last year, domestic steel prices overall stabilized rebound, leading to the recent domestic and international steel price price spreads continued to narrow and on steel exports year-on-year decline. China Steel Association data show that 1 at the end of this year, the global benchmark steel price index for the 64.1 months rose 1.27%.
另外,我国钢材出口同比增速自2015年10月以来便开始高位大幅下行,去年10月至今同比增速依次为5.5%、-1.13%、4.82%、-5.34%,短期价格波动会造成阶段性出口增速变化,但指望2016年全年钢材出口在2015年高位基础上继续增长难度较大。
In addition, China's steel exports year-on-year growth rate since October 2015 began high down sharply, in October last year has year-on-year growth followed by 5.5%, - 1.13% and 4.82%, -5.34%, short-term price fluctuations will cause changes in the export growth stage, but expect to 2016 annual steel exports in 2015 high based on continued growth is difficult.
厦门大学中国能源经济研究中心主任林伯强进而表示,由于国际钢铁需求的低迷、价差缩小以及近期欧洲等国家对于我国钢铁反倾销调查的影响,2016年我国钢铁出口在2015年的高基数下或将出现负增长,这也或将成为钢铁出口总量六年来的首次下滑。
Director of the China Center for energy economics research, Xiamen University, Lin Bo further said that due to the international steel demand in the doldrums, spreads narrowed and recent European and other countries for our country steel anti-dumping investigation into the influence of, 2016, China's steel exports in 2015 the high base or will appear negative growth, which is or will become the total amount of iron and steel exports six years fell for the first time.
贸易摩擦打压出口量
The export volume of trade friction pressure
除了以上多提到的需求下降、价差缩小等原因之外,欧洲市场对于我国众多出口q295nh耐候板钢铁产品品种的反倾销调查,成为国内钢材出口量下滑的主要原因。据了解,欧委会官方2月13日发布公告,决定对原产于中国的进口无缝钢管、中厚板和热轧平材钢三类钢铁产品同时发起反倾销调查,并对自中国进口的冷轧钢板实施临时反倾销措施。
In addition to the reasons mentioned above, more demand spreads narrow, the European market for anti-dumping investigation of many export steel products varieties in China, become the main reason for the decline in domestic steel exports. It is understood, the European Commission official on February 13, announcement, decided to originating in China's imports of seamless steel pipe, hot-rolled plate and flat steel three kinds of steel products also initiated anti-dumping investigations, and since the implementation of China's imports of cold rolled steel sheet of the provisional anti dumping measures.
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