Steel digest one disaster after another
Introduction: Lin Boqiang that, although the export of steel will have a certain impact on steel prices, but in fact the real impact of steel prices or the current weakness in the domestic market demand and production capacity surplus.
Then, in 2015 steel exports for the first time breaking million tons in January this year, the domestic steel export volume has appeared in the first year, four years chain double drop. The personage inside course of study thinks, the continued downturn in the international market demand and increasing the organization of China's steel anti-dumping investigations, making exports appear fell significantly, and the industry is expected in 2016 exports will appear negative growth, the domestic iron and steel industry overcapacity and is worse.
Exports this year or negative growth
Recently, the latest data released by the General Administration of Customs show that in January 2016, China steel exports 9 million 740 thousand tons, down 5.3%, a decline of 8.6%. Steel export amount of 4 billion 383 million dollars, fell 36%, a decline of 10.4%. Steel export price of 450 U.S. dollars / ton, down 32.4%, a decline of 1.9%.
钢铁出口罕见的同比环比下滑，统计数据显示，此前中国钢材出口量已经 连续数年大幅增长。从2013年到2015年，钢材出口增幅分别为11.9%、50.5%和19.9%。尤其是2015年，全国钢材出口量首次突破亿吨关 口，达到1.12亿吨，消化了同期国内粗钢统计产量的近15%。北京商报记者进而统计发现，今年1月也是近四年来国内钢铁出口首次出现环比、同比双下滑。
It is worth noting that this is the Chinese steel exports fell year-on-year rare, statistics show that after China steel exports have consecutive years of substantial growth. From 2013 to 2015, the steel export growth were 11.9%, 50.5% and 19.9%. Especially in 2015, the national steel exports for the first time exceeded 100 million tons mark, reaching 1.12 tons, nearly 15% over the same period to digest domestic crude steel production statistics. Beijing Daily reporter further statistics found that in January this year is nearly four years of domestic steel exports year-on-year decline, the first time a double.
For the decline in steel exports, Changjiang Securities Research Report Analysis, at this stage of the cause of China's steel exports, domestic and international steel price spread expansion is an important factor, and since mid December last year, domestic steel prices overall stabilized rebound, leading to the recent domestic and international steel price price spreads continued to narrow and on steel exports year-on-year decline. China Steel Association data show that 1 at the end of this year, the global benchmark steel price index for the 64.1 months rose 1.27%.
In addition, China's steel exports year-on-year growth rate since October 2015 began high down sharply, in October last year has year-on-year growth followed by 5.5%, - 1.13% and 4.82%, -5.34%, short-term price fluctuations will cause changes in the export growth stage, but expect to 2016 annual steel exports in 2015 high based on continued growth is difficult.
Director of the China Center for energy economics research, Xiamen University, Lin Bo further said that due to the international steel demand in the doldrums, spreads narrowed and recent European and other countries for our country steel anti-dumping investigation into the influence of, 2016, China's steel exports in 2015 the high base or will appear negative growth, which is or will become the total amount of iron and steel exports six years fell for the first time.
The export volume of trade friction pressure
In addition to the reasons mentioned above, more demand spreads narrow, the European market for anti-dumping investigation of many export steel products varieties in China, become the main reason for the decline in domestic steel exports. It is understood, the European Commission official on February 13, announcement, decided to originating in China's imports of seamless steel pipe, hot-rolled plate and flat steel three kinds of steel products also initiated anti-dumping investigations, and since the implementation of China's imports of cold rolled steel sheet of the provisional anti dumping measures.